Generalized and Cancer-Related Episodic Future Thinking for Smoking Cessation: Proof-of-Concept and Feasibility Testing - Cigarette smoking causes more than a dozen cancers, including cancers of the head and neck, colon, bladder, and lung. Although quitting smoking drastically reduces the risk of cancer mortality, rates of cessation are low, particularly in rural areas. Current evidence-based treatments for smoking cessation have made progress, but substantial room for innovation remains and novel strategies are needed. Successful smoking cessation may be considered, in part, an intertemporal choice between continuing to smoke and achieving the delayed health benefits associated with quitting (e.g., avoidance of lung cancer). Thus, quitting requires one’s behavior to be sufficiently motivated by future outcomes. Unfortunately, robust cross-sectional and longitudinal evidence indicates that people who smoke cigarettes show elevated delay discounting, or a bias for immediate gratification. Our work and others’ show that delay discounting predicts treatment failure and relapse in smoking cessation. These findings suggest that delay discounting often prevents successful quitting because the health benefits of cessation (e.g., avoiding cancer) are too delayed to motivate sustained behavioral change. Thus, delay discounting is a therapeutic target in smoking cessation, where interventions that increase valuation of future outcomes may facilitate quitting. Episodic future thinking (EFT) is one such scalable intervention that is designed to shift time perspective and reduce bias for immediate gratification by promoting vivid and frequent visualization of a broad range of personally significant future events (e.g., weddings, birthdays, spending time with loved ones). In laboratory studies, we have shown that this form of generalized EFT in cigarette smokers reduces delay discounting and motivation to smoke (i.e., cigarette consumption, craving, and valuation). Moreover, we have strong preliminary evidence that cancer-related EFT, a novel form of the intervention that involves visualizing the future experience of smoking-related lung cancer, may be more efficacious for reducing urges to smoke than the generalized form. In the proposed trial, we will adapt both forms of EFT (generalized and cancer-related) for clinical use in smoking cessation. Remote intervention delivery and outcomes assessment (breath carbon monoxide and number of cigarettes smoked per day) will be used to minimize clinical burden and increase intervention reach and access, including in rural populations who often lack access to evidence-based treatments for smoking cessation. In an eight-week proof-of-concept trial, participants will be prompted to engage in EFT or control episodic thinking multiple times per day and during acute craving episodes. Specific Aims 1 and 2 will examine the feasibility and efficacy, respectively, of generalized and cancer-related EFT to reduce smoking. An Exploratory Aim will investigate the potential moderating role of income, education, sex, and other characteristics (e.g., baseline DD, cigarettes/day) in the effects of EFT on smoking outcomes.
