Pathways from Chronic Prescription Opioid Use to New Onset Mood Disorder - Our previous work indicates a new period of opioid analgesic use (OAU) lasting beyond 30 days, is associated
with increased risk for new onset depression, depression recurrence and transition to treatment resistant
depression compared to 1-30 OAU days. In multiple studies with robust control for confounding, including pain
severity, longer OAU predicted new onset depression in middle-aged patients (substantially older than the age
of risk for new onset depression in the population) with no recent history of depression, no evidence of opioid
misuse and no recent history of OAU. Our research utilized electronic medical record (EMR) data from large
samples of Veterans Administration (VA) and private sector patients. Compared to patients who discontinued
OAU within 30 days, patients with 31-90 day OAU were 18% (VA) to 33% (private sector) more likely to have
new onset depression. In patients with >90 day OAU, the likelihood increased to 35% in VA and 105% in
private sector data. In patients with recent depression and in remission, initiation of OAU, compared to no
OAU, was associated with depression recurrence in VA (HR=2.2, 95% CI = 2.0-2.3) and private sector data
(HR=1.8, 95% CI = 1.4-2.2). We found that patients with depression were 22% more likely to develop
treatment resistant depression with OAU of 31-90 days and 49% more likely with OAU of >90 days. The
consistency of findings, replication in VA and private sector patients, and rigorous control for pain support the
hypothesis that OAU is likely a risk factor for depression, as well as its recurrence and severity. A prospective
study is needed to confirm and advance this line of research, in part because medical record data lack lifetime
histories of mood disorders and other risk factors such as substance use disorder, trauma exposure, as well as
good measures of functional impairment, sleep quality and social support. Also, EMR data do not contain
prospective data on the sequence of pain, OAU and depression symptom development. In the proposed
research, we hypothesize that events prior to OAU, such as history of depression, will increase risk of post-
OAU new onset major depressive episode. Second, we hypothesize that OAU-related adverse outcomes,
such as opioid misuse, sleep apnea, occur after long term OAU and subsequently contribute to new onset
depression. Third, we hypothesize that OAU leads to worse depression that in turn contributes to higher OAU
and still worsening depression, independent of longitudinal pain measures.
Fourth, we focus on depression
phenotypes (anhedonia, vital exhaustion, dysthymia, comorbid substance use disorder) to elucidate the new
onset depression phenotypes most strongly associated with chronic OAU. Fifth, we determine which
depression phenotypes are risk factors for incident opioid misuse and abuse.Data is obtained at baseline, 6
month and 12 month follow-up with monthly brief assessments for trajectory analysis. Our innovative research
has great potential to advance understanding of depression in OAU and opioid misuse, abuse/use disorder.
Results will inform pain management and safe opioid prescribing for patients with chronic non-cancer pain.