Monday, January 19, 2026 1/19/2026

Identification of Prospective Predictors of Alcohol Initiation During Early Adolescence

Award Number: F31AA031435
ORGANIZATION: NATIONAL INSTITUTE ON ALCOHOL ABUSE AND ALCOHOLISM
OPDIV: NIH
AWARD CLASS: DISCRETIONARY
AWARD ACTIVITY TYPE: FELLOWSHIP/SCHOLARSHIP/STUDENT LOANS
PERIOD OF PERFORMANCE START DATE: 01/01/2024
PERIOD OF PERFORMANCE END DATE: 05/30/2025

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Identification of Prospective Predictors of Alcohol Initiation During Early Adolescence - Project Summary/Abstract Recent initiatives from the National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism have focused on the prevention of child and adolescent alcohol use. To address this, the proposed project focuses on identifying salient, prospective predictors and inferred causes of early alcohol initiation (EAI) or the consumption of a full drink containing alcohol before the age of 16. The aims of the proposed project will test current assumptions of predictors of alcohol initiation (Aim 1a), compare a priori risk factors with novel, data-driven risk factors (Aim 1b), infer causal relationships between factors and EAI (Aim 2), and, as an exploratory aim, isolate individual measures as predictors using machine learning techniques (Aim 3). To accomplish these aims, we will be leveraging the Adolescent Brain Cognitive Development (ABCD) study consisting of over 11,000 youth participants. ABCD provides multiple time points of neuroimaging, neurocognitive, and environmental measures starting when youth are 9-to-10-years-old allowing for the incorporation of high-dimensional data into a single framework. Thus, the resulting sample provides a unique opportunity to use advanced quantitative methods including structural equation modeling, exploratory factor analysis, and random forest machine learning to highlight what drives youth to initiate alcohol use during this risky developmental period. The outcomes of this project aim to inform research on prevention and intervention of EAI to ultimately delay alcohol initiation to more developmentally appropriate ages.


Issue Date FY	Funding FY	Legal Entity Name	Legal Entity Address	Legal Entity City	Legal Entity State	Legal Entity Zip Code	Legal Entity COUNTY	Legal Entity COUNTRY	Assistance Listing	Award Code	Budget Year	Action Date	Action Type	Action Amount

Issue Date FY: 2026 ( Subtotal = -$19,127 )
2026	2025	UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA	1523 UNION RD RM 207	GAINESVILLE	FL	32611	ALACHUA	USA	Alcohol Research Programs	000	2	1/13/2026	NON-COMPETING CONTINUATION	-$19,127
														Subtotal = -$19,127

Issue Date FY: 2025 ( Subtotal = $44,266 )
2025	2025	UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA	1523 UNION RD RM 207	GAINESVILLE	FL	32611	ALACHUA	USA	Alcohol Research Programs	001	2	7/31/2025	NON-COMPETING CONTINUATION	$1,644
2025	2025	UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA	1523 UNION RD RM 207	GAINESVILLE	FL	32611	ALACHUA	USA	Alcohol Research Programs	000	2	1/14/2025	NON-COMPETING CONTINUATION	$42,622
														Subtotal = $44,266

Issue Date FY: 2023 ( Subtotal = $42,102 )
2023	2023	UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA	1523 UNION RD RM 207	GAINESVILLE	FL	32611	ALACHUA	USA	Alcohol Research Programs	000	1	9/1/2023	NEW	$42,102
														Subtotal = $42,102

Grand Total All Awards = $67,241

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Identification of Prospective Predictors of Alcohol Initiation During Early Adolescence

Award Number: F31AA031435

ORGANIZATION: NATIONAL INSTITUTE ON ALCOHOL ABUSE AND ALCOHOLISM

OPDIV: NIH

AWARD CLASS: DISCRETIONARY

AWARD ACTIVITY TYPE: FELLOWSHIP/SCHOLARSHIP/STUDENT LOANS

PERIOD OF PERFORMANCE START DATE: 01/01/2024

PERIOD OF PERFORMANCE END DATE: 05/30/2025

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