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Estimating the Cost Trajectories and Projecting the Cost of Cancer Care in the United States: Methodology and Application

Award Number: R01CA225646
ORGANIZATION: NATIONAL CANCER INSTITUTE
OPDIV: NIH
AWARD CLASS: DISCRETIONARY
AWARD ACTIVITY TYPE: SCIENTIFIC/HEALTH RESEARCH (INCLUDES SURVEYS)

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Project Summary/Abstract Accurate projection of the costs of cancer care in the United States on a regular basis is critically important for decision makers to understand the economic impact of cancer and to develop and assess cost containment policies and interventions. We propose to systematically develop new methodology for cost estimation and projection that addresses analytical challenges in the phase-of-care costing method, which was developed more than two decades ago and has since been adopted by the National Cancer Institute in its periodic cost reporting. Our methodology includes new methods to (a) model the longitudinal cost trajectories without artificial partitioning of initial, continuing, and terminal care phases, (b) identify more comparable matched control cohort in the estimation of net cost attributable to cancer, (c) to extrapolate the cost trajectories estimated from SEER-Medicare database to the general United States population and validate the extrapolation algorithm for the purpose of projecting national cancer care costs. We will apply the proposed methods to SEER-Medicare data to project the costs of the top five most costly cancers (breast, colorectal, lung, prostate, and lymphoma), plus leukemia, in the United States between 2020 and 2030. User-friendly software will be developed and disseminated for routine use.


Issue Date FY	Funding FY	Legal Entity Name	Legal Entity Address	Legal Entity City	Legal Entity State	Legal Entity Zip Code	Legal Entity COUNTY	Legal Entity COUNTRY	Assistance Listing	Award Code	Budget Year	Action Date	Action Type	Action Amount

Issue Date FY: 2025 ( Subtotal = $0 )
2025	2022	THE UNIVERISTY OF TEXAS MD ANDERSON CANCER CENTER, A COMPONENT OF THE UNIVERISTY OF TEXAS SYSTEM	1515 HOLCOMBE BLVD	HOUSTON	TX	77030	HARRIS	USA	Cancer Cause and Prevention Research	000	5	10/18/2024	NON-COMPETING CONTINUATION	$0
														Subtotal = $0

Issue Date FY: 2022 ( Subtotal = $358,680 )
2022	2022	UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS M. D. ANDERSON CANCER CENTER, THE	1515 HOLCOMBE BLVD	HOUSTON	TX	77030	HARRIS	USA	Cancer Cause and Prevention Research	000	5	6/23/2022	NON-COMPETING CONTINUATION	$358,680
														Subtotal = $358,680

Issue Date FY: 2021 ( Subtotal = $366,000 )
2021	2021	UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS M D ANDERSON CANCER CENTER	1515 HOLCOMBE BLVD UNIT 207	HOUSTON	TX	77030	HARRIS	USA	Cancer Cause and Prevention Research	000	4	6/18/2021	NON-COMPETING CONTINUATION	$366,000
														Subtotal = $366,000

Issue Date FY: 2020 ( Subtotal = $366,000 )
2020	2020	UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS M D ANDERSON CANCER CENTER	1515 HOLCOMBE BLVD UNIT 207	HOUSTON	TX	77030	HARRIS	USA	Cancer Cause and Prevention Research	000	3	7/10/2020	NON-COMPETING CONTINUATION	$366,000
														Subtotal = $366,000

Issue Date FY: 2019 ( Subtotal = $355,019 )
2019	2019	UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS M D ANDERSON CANCER CENTER	1515 HOLCOMBE BLVD UNIT 207	HOUSTON	TX	77030	HARRIS	USA	Cancer Cause and Prevention Research	000	2	5/20/2019	NON-COMPETING CONTINUATION	$355,019
														Subtotal = $355,019

Issue Date FY: 2018 ( Subtotal = $329,400 )
2018	2018	UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS M D ANDERSON CANCER CENTER	1515 HOLCOMBE BLVD UNIT 207	HOUSTON	TX	77030	HARRIS	USA	Cancer Cause and Prevention Research	000	1	7/5/2018	NEW	$329,400
														Subtotal = $329,400

Grand Total All Awards = $1,775,099

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Estimating the Cost Trajectories and Projecting the Cost of Cancer Care in the United States: Methodology and Application

Award Number: R01CA225646

ORGANIZATION: NATIONAL CANCER INSTITUTE

OPDIV: NIH

AWARD CLASS: DISCRETIONARY

AWARD ACTIVITY TYPE: SCIENTIFIC/HEALTH RESEARCH (INCLUDES SURVEYS)

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